Posts Tagged ‘strategy’

Joe Giambrone

This opinion piece will contain speculation or “conspiracy theory,” and so you can move on if you don’t like that sort of thing…

I’m not claiming that Iran fired any missiles at the Ukrainian passenger plane; that’s the New York Times and Bellingcat. But, assuming their video shows unaltered footage of Iranian anti-aircraft SAMs shooting down Ukraine Flight 752, then we must ask the obvious question: WHY?

The very first possible reason screams out, and that is that Iran must have thought it was an attacking warplane over Tehran, and with only moments to decide, they shot quickly. But, why would the Iranian military think that a civilian plane was an attacking warplane? That is the big question in this possible scenario, and it represents a major threat to civil aviation worldwide.

Other civilian airliners around the Middle East have been put at risk recently in the following way. In December, 2018, Russia accused Israel of using civilian airliners as cover for their attacking warplanes:

“The provocative actions of the Israeli air force … directly threatened two airliners,” Russian defence ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said in a statement.

In another incident, Israeli planes attacked Syrian ground targets in a way that the Russians said caused Syria’s air defense missiles to strike a Russian surveillance plane that was in the same area. This air defense response killed fifteen Russian airmen.

“The [Russian] spokesman accused Israeli pilots of “using the Russian airplane as a cover”, putting it “in the line of fire coming from Syrian air defence systems”.

These two precedents establish that military strategists are always looking for ways to game the enemy into using his anti-aircraft missiles against him, so to speak. Getting the enemy to shoot down the wrong plane is a standard military ploy, and perhaps a war crime.

Civilian planes are identified by their radio signatures. They continually broadcast data identifying them as friendly, or, in the case of military aircraft, they can turn off transponder signals and be unknown—giving away as little information to the enemy as possible.

Radio jamming has been around since the second World War. It is not impossible that the Ukraine jet was targeted for some sort of radio jamming in order to confuse the Iranians into thinking it was an attacking enemy warplane and quickly shooting it down. The incident would clearly be blamed on Iran alone, as the “conspiracy theory” is nearly impossible to prove, and the Iranians aren’t going to admit to shooting missiles at all, just as they have denied the use of missiles ever since the incident occurred.

This scenario seems plausible enough. While pundits allude to Iran making a “mistake,” this absolves any conspirators who may have engaged in deliberate radio jamming in order to bait the Iranians into shooting down the wrong plane. The propaganda value of casting the Iranians as monsters, and also angering Ukrainians, Canadians, and other nations which had civilians on board, are clear motives to inspire such a crime.

Lastly, it makes no sense that Iran would warn the US about its missile launches hours in advance in order to avoid casualties, while deliberately shooting down a plane load of innocent civilians on the same day.

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Trump is copying Hitler’s early rhetoric and policies in 20 different ways

 

Some of us might file this under: “No shit, Sherlock.”

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Trump and Kavanaugh are the real victims, don’t you know? 

I just had a disgusting bout with a real-world person, over Facebook. Dr. Ford is a “bitch” who definitely “lied” in a Democrat plot to deny Republicans a court seat.

That’s the talking point going around.

When you bring up a dozen perjuries under oath (1, 2), that’s ignored. When you bring up 2,400 law professors protesting Kavanaugh, that’s ignored.

Also ignored is the dean of Yale law school, Kavanaugh’s old haunt, who said:

“[Kavanaugh’s] very presence will undermine the court’s claim to legitimacy; it will damage the nation’s commitment to the rule of law. It will be an American tragedy.”

The right-wing smear machine has also fabricated completely unsourced hit pieces against Dr. Ford. It’s all about Dr. Ford and nothing about Kavanaugh’s total unfitness for the position.

Obama’s Supreme Court pick, Merrick Garland, was actually denied a seat by an actual Republican plot in the Senate to refuse to confirm him under any circumstances. These ignorant bobbing heads are beyond hypocrisy since they don’t know enough about any of the subjects to contradict themselves knowingly.

Now they claim Kavanaugh is the victim of “liberal” death threats. Meanwhile, Dr. Ford had to move out of her house for actual death threats. Republicans are through-the-looking-glass, behaving like a Brown Shirt mob at every level from Trump on down. They are completely impervious to facts and logic, and they are, indeed, proudly armed and dangerous.

I’m not a big fan of Trevor Noah, but this observation on Republican weaponizing of “victimhood” should send chills down your spine. It is the Nazi game plan. White nationalists are the victims in Nazi ideology, and they’re defending their race, nation, state, values, or what have you, as they perpetrate any number of atrocities against outsiders.

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Babies in cages were no ‘mistake’ by Trump but test-marketing for barbarism

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Get it here:

A Global Security System: An Alternative to War — 2017 Edition Now Available

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by David Pear

 

“if you have nukes, never give them up–if you don’t have them, get them”. —Dan Coats, Director of National Intelligence.

Those were the words of President Trump’s Director of National Intelligence, about the lessons taught from the U.S. destruction of Libya and the assassination of Muammar Gaddafi.

That is why North Korea is a nuclear power. That is the reality and eventually the U.S. will have to accept “Mutually Assured Madness“. The U.S. has nobody to blame for its self-inflected wounds. It is called Blowback.

If there is any comfort in living with a nuclear armed North Korea, then be thankful that it is not even close to the dangers of the Cold War. The propaganda mill and the mainstream media greatly exaggerate the US national security risk to the American people, and it is for their own greedy self-interest to spread panic and paranoia among the American people.

If Kim Jong-un wanted to kill Americans out of insane hatred, he has that capability now with conventional weapons. There are over a quarter of a million American citizens living in Seoul, 100 miles from Pyongyang. Kim Jong-un has not attacked Seoul to kill Americans because he is not insane or suicidal, and that is according to experts on North Korea such as Dan Coats and Donald Gregg, and others.

Forget the propaganda, it is nonsense aimed at selling extremely expensive Thermal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missiles and further encircle and threaten China and Russia . THAAD’s installed in South Korea at a cost of $1 billion are ineffective and useless against North Korean missiles in the early stage of launching. Professor of Government and Public Policy Lawrence, and former Chief of Staff for Secretary of State Colin Powell has spoken in interviews extensively on this subject. Wilkerson’s last positions in government were as Secretary of State Colin Powell’s Chief of Staff (2002-05),

It is the U.S. that is the most dangerous country and threat to the world, not North Korea. The U.S. has beaten its own world record as a serial mass murderer of the 21stcentury. That does not go unnoticed by small vulnerable countries, which is the kind that the U.S. likes to destroy for its own sick reasons. For North Korea to fear the U.S. is reality. To want a nuclear deterrent is sanity.

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The Insufferably Boring Left

Joe Giambrone
Love him or hate him, Swamp Thing sure does make a lot of noise. One badly completed Tweet sends the world into a frenzy for days, #covfefe.

The Left, not so much. Unless it’s Kathy Griffin being excoriated for daring to hold up a puppet, and that’s largely the result of the right’s echo chamber of hatred. They smelled blood in the water, and by the end of the day a dozen highly original memes showed her chopping off her own head. Ted Nugent’s death threats against Obama received little play, despite his chumming it up inside the Oval Office with Swampy the Victim.

The bread and butter Left propagandists, churning out their daily diatribes, are far less compelling though. Those with microphones and unlimited podcast time are the worst offenders. It goes on and on and on, and I can’t imagine average shlubs enduring more than a couple of minutes. That’s all I can take, and I already agree.

The Left just doesn’t get how to make their messages palatable, and they’re losing–with a few notable exceptions. Robert Reich used to produce short videos featuring a white board that were usually a bit too long, but more impactful than most. Jimmy Dore fills time, but usually he’s got better things to say and imbues it with some humor. A number of these Left echo chambers send out images of pointedly cogent Tweets, and these pithy memes cut through the noise.

Other Young Turks shows are wastelands of endless half-assed babble, and no expertise on display. With the 2016 chaos more progressives started streaming video, and with zero production value or show conceptualization, these are frankly unwatchable. Prior to those, the Greens could usually be found delivering long-winded speeches and essentially saying the same things, the same phrases, for hours. It turns people off to politics when even the opposition you like makes it unbearable to sit through. There’s no entertainment value, and that’s the problem.

Those who would lead the revolution against the right need to take cues on how to expand into the mainstream. It’s not enough to preach to the choir, no matter how ego-fulfilling it may seem. The great blob in the center is a tough audience with no patience, infinite choices at their fingertips, and they need to be attracted, sold on a concept, and released back into the wild before it becomes burdensome.

Filling time is not going to win them over. The luxury of the infinite podcast has been a great negative, a dead end, as it generally turns people off to podcasts and videocasts. These offer very little useful information per unit of time. There isn’t enough there to justify the time commitment. Time is money, or even more valuable. Time is life itself: treat it that way.